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Fragile truce between Iran and Israel under Trump's scrutiny

Tuesday, June 24


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The World's Current Take

Ceasefire Violations and Tensions

Israel's Perspective


Perhaps it cannot be strictly defined as the"12-Day War," as US President Donald Trump had proclaimed in his early Monday morning announcement of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, but rather the"13-Day War," given the tense day on Tuesday. But, in the end, the fragile calm has prevailed over the missiles and bombs. A scenario desired today by both countries, which are gradually returning to routine.

With undiplomatic messages in favor of diplomacy, Trump turned back Israeli pilots flying to Iran to respond to the two missiles fired against his country—despite the truce. As a result of the phone call between Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the retaliation focused on a radar system outside Tehran, and not on targets belonging to the Ali Khamenei regime and missile launchers, as planned.

"We have two countries that have been fighting so hard and so long that they don't know what the hell they're doing," Trump said, angry at Iran but also at Israel for its attack following the announcement early Monday morning before the ceasefire had even taken effect."As soon as we made the deal, Israel came out and rained down bombs like I've never seen before," he said, before urging Netanyahu - in a harsh tone unusual in their close relationship - not to respond to the Iranian attack."Israel. Don't drop those bombs. If you do, it's a major violation. Bring your pilots home, now!" he asked on Truth Social, in a message repeated by phone.

In the face of criticism from Trump, and without naming him, Netanyahu justified the actions of his Air Force in the early hours before the truce."The ceasefire was set for 7:00 a.m. and at 3:00 a.m., Israel attacked in force in the heart of Tehran, hitting regime targets and killing hundreds of Basij (internal force of the Revolutionary Guard) and Iranian security forces," he said. He also denounced that Iran killed four Israeli civilians with missiles against Beer Sheva before the truce and that, three hours after it went into effect, it fired three more missiles.

"Following President Trump's conversation with Prime Minister Netanyahu, Israel refrained from further attacks," his cabinet admitted in a statement, confirming that some ministers' demand for a forceful response is less relevant than Trump's demand for a decisive response. This has followed a clear script since his ally returned to the White House: not to challenge him nor, of course, to anger him. And even less so when he agreed to"complete the work" of the Israeli Air Force and the Mossad in recent weeks with the bombing of three major Iranian nuclear plants.

"Iran has grossly violated the truce agreement and will pay dearly for it," the government warned, while Defense Minister Israel Katz announced that they would respond with"intense attacks against regime assets and terrorist infrastructure in Tehran."

Iran denied firing missiles at northern Israel, accusing it of breaking the truce:"The Zionist aggressor regime attacked centers on Iranian soil in three waves until 9:00 a.m. (5:30 GMT) today." According to an Iranian military spokesman quoted by the Fars news agency,"the armed forces had previously announced that they would not leave any aggression unanswered and that this regime would pay a heavy price."

"Iran will not violate the ceasefire as long as the Zionist regime does not violate it," said Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, while other spokesmen stressed"the determination of the responses to the aggressions."

In a wave of airstrikes in the early hours before the truce, Israel killed Mojtaba Karami, the commander of the Revolutionary Guard in Alborz, at the headquarters of the Basij paramilitary militia. Iran also reported the killing of Mohamed Reza Seddighi Saber in a separate attack. The nuclear scientist was sanctioned earlier this year by the U.S. State Department and Treasury for his ties to Iran's nuclear program.

The day in Israel and Iran began with Trump's declaration of a truce, which surprised by its form but not by its substance, as both sides were very interested in ending their first open war.

Khamenei wanted to quickly stop the unprecedented blows received so as not to put his regime at risk, but first, he needed to carry out a limited response, as he did on Monday, to the United States bombing of the nuclear facilities in Fordow, Isfahan, and Natanz. Netanyahu, for his part, highlights"historic achievements" to end Operation Rising Lion, which began on June 13. According to him, his country managed to eliminate"a double immediate existential threat to it, both in the nuclear field and in that of ballistic missiles," in addition to hitting the military and Revolutionary Guard leadership.

"In full coordination with President Trump, Israel has accepted the president's proposal for a bilateral ceasefire," he confirmed in a statement.

Hours earlier, one of Iran's 20 missiles bypassed the Israeli defense shield and hit a residential neighborhood in Beersheba, killing four people. The attack destroyed large areas of several six-story buildings, while the wounded were evacuated to Soroka Hospital, which was hit by another powerful missile last Thursday.

The war - which began with a large-scale Israeli offensive against Iranian nuclear and military targets - has left 610 dead in Iran and 29 in Israel.

While the two countries maintain a fragile truce, closely watched by Trump, two questions remain: how the war—and its cessation—will influence the negotiations between Iran and the US over the nuclear plan (whether it is decimated or merely battered) and between Israel and Hamas over a truce in the devastated Gaza Strip.

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