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Analysis: Trump says the war is over. Is he right?

Arabian Business

United Arab Emirates

Monday, October 13


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Trump's Diplomatic Victory and Peace Achievement


Trump’s appearance at Israel’s parliament on Monday had the same energy as an ecstatic corporate away day, perhaps following a particularly audacious merger or acquisition.

The president claimed resolving the conflict between Israel and Palestine was the eighth war he’d stopped in as many months, and certainly the longest-running. “Some say it’s been going 3,000 years, some say 500 years. The grand-daddy of them all, whatever it is,” he remarked in his trademark fashion.

Before he got to the meat of his speech, Trump singled out his key men for special praise, the way a CEO might share a little of the glory with division heads before cigars are broken out.

He made an awkward-looking General Dan “Raizin” Caine stand to receive the Knesset’s full adulation, and also demanded similarly lavish applause for Senior Advisor Jared Kushner, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.

When it came to Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff, Trump wouldn’t be diverted even by a protestor so voluble he had to be ejected from the parliament. “Very efficient,” Trump noted, eyebrows raised, after his abuser was flung out. “So, back to Steve…”

The point he wanted to make was that Steve was “just a great guy – everyone loves Steve”. He was so irresistible, Trump claimed, that even President Putin couldn’t get enough of him, apparently once extending a twenty-minute meeting to more than five hours.

Does Trump do being happy better than anyone has ever done being happy in the history of the world? It’s possible. Think of it. Certainly, here his enthusiasm for what he believed had been achieved – “the long and painful nightmare is finally over” – filled the room. “My personality is about stopping wars, and it seems to work,” he told his audience with a beaming smile.

His secret to stopping wars? Simple. “If we go into a war, we will win that war like nobody’s ever won before… Peace by strength, that’s what it’s all about,” he explained.

If he is right, and the Middle East is now set to enjoy an unprecedented era of peace and stability, there will be many millions across the region who share Trump’s joy, albeit tinged with great sadness and mourning as a result of what the Palestinian people have endured over the last two years.

“Generations from now, this will be remembered as the point when things began to change, and change for the better,” Trump said, referring the wider region.

The cessation of Iran’s nuclear programme was the crucial game-changer, he added, one that had removed “a big cloud” and would allow the countries of the Middle East – particularly those who were signatories to the Abraham Accords – to enjoy a very bright future.

“Israel with our help has won all that they can. By force of arms. You’ve won,” he said. “Now is the time for peace and prosperity for the entire Middle East…

“The choice for Palestinians could not be more clear. This is their chance to turn forever from the path of terror and violence, and to exile the wicked forces of hate that are in their midst. I think it’s going to happen.”

Trump’s superpower is seeing the world in terms of deals that can be struck, and not, as politicians typically do, only in terms of votes that can be won. He has a genius for getting to the bottom of things – or to the bottom-line, at least – whatever the committee who decide who wins the Nobel Peace Prize might think.

“I’m telling you, Iran wants to make a deal,” he announced. “Even if they say ‘we don’t want to make a deal’ – I’m telling you they do…

“This is not said out of weakness. But we are ready when they are, and it will be the best decision Iran has ever made. It’s going to happen.”

And with that – and a few more Trumpian bromides about prosperity for all as well as a quick appeal for a pardon for President Benjamin Netanyahu, who faces criminal charges relating to corruption – the leader of the free world signed off.

Next stop Sharm el-Sheikh in Egypt where the likes of UK prime minister Sir Kier Starmer and France’s Emmanuel Macron will attempt, however ludicrously, to take some of the credit for achieving peace in the Middle East.

Will the peace last? That’s the multi-trillion dollar question. Trump is convinced it will – even if he wouldn’t be the first American president to call time on a Middle East conflict prematurely.

Let’s hope he’s right.

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