At least 12 people were killed and dozens injured in a shooting at a Jewish religious festival (Hanukkah) on Sydney's Bondi Beach on Saturday. The footage released showed two gunmen opened fire on the crowd attending the event; Australian authorities said two people have been arrested in connection with the incident, with one of them shot dead by police.

Many countries, including Iran, condemned the deadly incident and the targeting of civilians. The main reason for this violent incident has not yet been officially announced, but Israeli officials once again quickly condemned the incident as"anti-Semitism" and claimed that they had previously warned the Australian government that "anti-Semitic" movements are increasing in Australia.

Although after the tragedy and genocide of people of Gaza and the Zionist regime's aggressive actions against countries of the region, the hatred and disgust of public opinion worldwide towards this fake regime and, naturally, the Jews have increased exponentially.

So, with a pause and a closer look, serious questions arise about the goals behind this tragic incident that cannot be ignored; questions such as what was the goal of the main perpetrator or perpetrators of this incident and who could exploit such an incident. Is this simply a blind action or a planned operation with specific goals whose motives will gradually become apparent?

Alireza Kabiri, an expert in West Asian affairs, in an interview with Mehr news agency, believes that studying the historical backgrounds and performance of Israeli security services can provide a clear view of the motives and possible consequences of this tragic incident.

Let’s review the interview in questions and answers:

Q: How likely is it that the attack on Jewish religious celebration in Sydney was carried out by Israeli regime itself?

A: If we are to assess the possibility of Israeli involvement in the attack on the Jewish religious celebration in Sydney, we must look at the documented history of the Israeli regime’s intelligence operations. Israel is one of the few international actors that has an official record of conducting security and intelligence operations on the territory of third countries, and in several cases these operations have been later revealed or confirmed. A classic example is the “Lavon Affair” in 1954, an operation in which Israeli security services attempted to attribute the bombings of Jewish and Western targets in Egypt to other groups in order to damage Egypt’s relations with the West. This case was later officially confirmed in Israel and shows that the use of “false flag” operations, even at the risk of Jewish lives, has a history in the regime’s security logic.

In more recent times, the assassination of Mahmoud al-Mabhouh in Dubai in 2010 demonstrated that Mossad is capable of carrying out complex operations in safe countries under strict security surveillance, regardless of political and security sensitivities. Therefore, in terms of operational capacity and historical precedent, implementing a controlled security scenario in a country like Australia is neither impossible nor outside the Israeli behavioral pattern. Especially in a situation where Israel is facing a severe crisis of international legitimacy, this possibility is worth considering from an analytical perspective.

Q: Given the hatred of Zionists and Israel in the global public opinion, can this operation be interpreted as a kind of"victim playing" by Israeli security services?

A: Given the hatred of Zionists and Israeli policies in the world’s public opinion, this tragic incident can be seriously considered a calculated form of victimization. Israel has been using the “security of Jews in the world” as a political and media tool for years. After each wave of widespread criticism against this regime, the media focus on “anti-Semitism, Jewish insecurity, and the need to support Israel” increases significantly. For example, after the Gaza war in 2014 and increased human rights pressures, Israel and institutions close to it launched a widespread campaign about the “increase in attacks on Jews in Europe,” which aimed to shift the position of victim from Palestinians to Jews.

Under such circumstances, an incident such as shooting at a Jewish religious celebration in Sydney serves precisely the same psychological and media function: to create emotional shock, restore Western public sympathy, and reduce political pressure on Israel. This pattern is not accidental, but part of well-known doctrine of narrative warfare, in which Israel has long experience. Thus, the victimization in this incident is not a weak assumption, but an analysis based on a consistent pattern of behavior.

Q: You mentioned several cases while answering the questions above. Have there been other similar examples like today's incident from the US and Israel in the past?

A: There are documented examples of similar actions by Israel and the United States in the recent history. In addition to the"Lavon incident," the Israeli attack on the American ship "USS Liberty" in 1967 is another controversial case that many analysts have considered a deliberate attempt to drag the United States into war against Egypt, although the official narrative says otherwise.

Regarding the United States, published official documents show that the"Operation Northwoods" plan was designed in the 1960s to carry out fake attacks against American citizens and attribute them to Cuba; a plan that, although not implemented, demonstrates the security logic governing such decisions.

Also, the story of false and fabricated testimony of"Nayirah" in 1990 about the massacre of infants in Kuwait, which was later revealed to be a lie, is a clear example of the US use of emotional and fake narratives to change public opinion and justify war. These examples show that the use of fabricated events or narratives to engineer public opinion is not an exception but a part of the history of the security policy of great powers. Some even continue to believe that the"September 11, 2001 attack" on the United States was also a fake operation and planned by the US security forces.

In conclusion, when we put together this historical evidence, political logic, operational history, and Israel’s urgent need to change the global public opinion atmosphere, the analysis of the involvement of Israeli security services in the Sydney incident becomes much more credible. From a media and psychological point of view, this tragic incident is completely understandable in line with the strategy of portraying the victim and rebuilding Israel’s image, and is consistent with known patterns of the past.