There was a short-lived ceasefire between Israel and Iran.

Shortly after the agreement was confirmed by the two countries, the Israeli military (IDF) claimed to have shot down Iranian missiles heading towards Israel, and Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered a powerful counterattack. Iran denies violating the ceasefire. US President Donald Trump accuses both of them of violating it.

Hilde Henriksen Waage, professor of history at the University of Oslo and senior researcher at the Peace Research Institute Prio, believes there is every reason to believe that the United States pressured Israel hard to achieve a ceasefire.

"This was not something Israel wanted, while for Iran a ceasefire is welcome. Militarily they are so much weaker than Israel and the US that it is a tough match," says Hilde Henriksen Waage to Dagbladet.

- We know that Israel is good at war, but bad at peace, and enters into ceasefires that they break even when it suits them, says Waage.

- Israel cannot continue

Dag Henrik Tuastad, a lecturer in Middle Eastern studies at the University of Oslo, points out that it is not unusual for a ceasefire to break at the very beginning.

- There are often repercussions, although it is unexpected if it is true that Iran has fired missiles at Israel after the ceasefire has come into effect, says Tuastad.

According to the US president, the ceasefire came into effect for Iran at six o'clock Norwegian time, after which it will come into effect for Israel after twelve hours.

- It is quite obvious that it is in the Iranian regime's interest to bring this to an end. They have no control and no ability to stop the Israeli attacks, and are only accepting the destruction. Iran achieves nothing other than responding in order not to show weakness, so any response is shooting itself in the foot, says Tuastad.

When the US attacked Iranian nuclear facilities, and Donald Trump expressed his openness to regime change in Iran, a new war and regime change appeared as a possible scenario. Now the researcher believes that an end is the most likely.

"Israel cannot continue on its own. When the US tells Israel to stop, Israel risks doing irreparable damage to its relationship with the US. That is almost the biggest threat to Israel - losing the support Israel has in American public opinion," says Tuastad.

- None of the goals achieved

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claims that he agreed to the ceasefire because all goals were achieved with the war against Iran.

Regime change, which he has repeatedly advocated, has not occurred. It is also unclear to what extent the attacks by Israel and the United States have succeeded in eliminating the threats from Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles.

"We saw during the war that Israel had moving targets. None of these targets were achieved, because they are not possible to achieve with bombing," Waage notes.

The Iranian leadership is under great pressure. They have turned to big brother Russia, but apparently have not been offered military assistance. The Kremlin has more than enough of its own warfare in Ukraine.

- The clergy board must now assess the extent of the damage and find a way forward, says Waage.

Initially, she believes they will maintain their aggressive rhetoric against the US and Israel - the great satan and the little satan - and strike hard against their own population. Dagbladet last week reported on the authorities' hunt for alleged Mossad supporters after Israel's attack on the country.

"They are now really going to go after oppositionists who have spoken to someone in the West, make spy accusations and execute people on a fairly large scale," says Waage.