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Israel and Hamas peace agreement on thin ice

Tagesschau

Germany

Wednesday, October 15


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Israeli Perspective on Ceasefire Violations

Hamas Perspective on Ceasefire Issues


Luftaufnahme zerstörter Gebäude in Gaza-Stadt

Already in the first days of the ceasefire, Hamas is violating parts of the agreement. Israel accuses the terrorist organization of calculating tactics – and some in the government are betting on a new outbreak of war.

There was no shortage of big words in Jerusalem and Sharm el-Sheikh on Monday. There was talk of an end to the war and a completely new harmony between Israel and its neighbors. The ink on the peace agreement hasn't yet fully dried, and more than just the first cracks are beginning to appear.

Hamas violated the agreement on the very first day and only handed over a portion of the dead hostages to Israel. The question is: Is the terrorist organization playing perfidious games, or does it truly not know all the graves?

In Israel, people are convinced that Hamas is playing poker. And this is before the real crux of the peace agreement has even been addressed: the question of Hamas's disarmament.

Clear demands from Israel

On US television on CBS, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was more than clear:"It's not just about releasing the hostages, but also about achieving both demilitarization and disarmament afterward." First, Hamas must hand over its weapons, and then it must be ensured that there are no more weapons factories in Gaza, Netanyahu said."Nor any weapons smuggling into Gaza. That is demilitarization."

But Hamas isn't thinking about it. And political scientist Mustafa Ibrahim from Gaza makes it clear in an interview with ARD that this is unlikely to change anytime soon."Netanyahu and Trump have promised an end to the war, stability and peace, and the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip, without Hamas adhering to the conditions. This includes a technocratic government or the deployment of international forces." Ibrahim believes none of this will happen "if Hamas insists on staying in power."

Expert sees Hamas on the rise

And that's what it looks like. The terrorist organization is flexing its muscles. It is openly appearing in various areas of the coastal strip and executing members of other clans who allegedly cooperated with Israel. Military expert Kobi Michael of the Institute for National Security Studies sees Hamas on the rise."You just have to look at the speed with which Hamas has managed to recover."

Within hours of the Israeli army's repositioning and withdrawal from the areas it previously controlled, Hamas managed to recruit over 7,000 new armed men, take control of the streets, and settle accounts with all those who dared to speak out, Michael said.

Netanyahu does not speak of peace

Many countries, including Germany, hope that Arab-Muslim mediating states like Qatar or Turkey will now exert their influence to persuade Hamas to disarm. Kobi Michael doesn't believe this. He sees a different scenario as more likely.

"The two countries will use their new position to advance Hamas's interests. We will likely find ourselves in a military confrontation with Hamas much sooner than expected." A scenario many in Israel consider likely. While Trump has spoken of an end to the war several times in his speeches, Prime Minister Netanyahu has not yet uttered the word.

Israeli hardliners want new war

The hardliners in his government even hope that the war against Hamas will continue. Ultranationalist MP Zvi Sukkot admits this is the reason why his Zionist Judaism party has not left the government, despite the peace agreement, which he finds objectionable.

"If we had left the government, then the opposition politicians Lapid and Gantz would have offered Netanyahu a safety net," Sukkot said. Then no one would exert pressure to resume this war."And that's exactly what we're doing these days. I'm sure we'll succeed in resuming the war against Hamas."

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